AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Sep 30, 2023

Real Sociedad

Home
VS
19:00

Athletic Club

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Real Sociedad Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Athletic Club Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.69 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.8
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Sociedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Real Sociedad Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Real Soci… vs Getafe 4-3
Aug 25 Real Soci… vs Las Palmas 0-0
Aug 19 Real Soci… vs Celta de … 1-1
Aug 12 Real Soci… vs Girona 1-1
Aug 03 Real Soci… vs Atlético … 0-0
Jul 21 Real Soci… vs Osasuna 1-3
May 28 Real Soci… vs Atlético … 2-1
May 20 Real Soci… vs FC Barcel… 1-2
May 13 Real Soci… vs Girona 2-2
Apr 28 Real Soci… vs Osasuna 0-2
Athletic Club Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Athletic … vs Mallorca 0-0
Aug 19 Athletic … vs Osasuna 0-2
Aug 12 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 0-2
Jun 04 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 1-1
May 25 Athletic … vs Osasuna 2-0
May 20 Athletic … vs Celta de … 2-1
May 01 Athletic … vs Mallorca 1-1
Apr 27 Athletic … vs Sevilla FC 0-1
Apr 15 Athletic … vs Real Soci… 2-0
Apr 04 Athletic … vs Osasuna 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 15, 2023 Athletic Club 2 - 0 Real Sociedad La Liga
Jan 14, 2023 Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Athletic Club La Liga
Aug 05, 2022 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Real Sociedad Friendlies Clu…
Feb 20, 2022 Athletic Club 4 - 0 Real Sociedad La Liga
Oct 31, 2021 Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Athletic Club La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Sociedad Power 35
Athletic Club Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Real Sociedad Position

+3

Position Gap

11

Athletic Club Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.