AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Jan 14, 2023

Real Sociedad

Home
VS
20:00

Athletic Club

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Real Sociedad Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Athletic Club Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.11 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Sociedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Real Sociedad Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 Real Soci… vs Celta de … 1-2
Oct 09 Real Soci… vs Villarreal 1-0
Oct 02 Real Soci… vs Girona 3-5
Sep 11 Real Soci… vs Getafe 2-1
Sep 03 Real Soci… vs Atlético … 1-1
Aug 27 Real Soci… vs Elche 0-1
Aug 21 Real Soci… vs FC Barcel… 1-4
Aug 05 Real Soci… vs Athletic … 1-0
May 27 Real Soci… vs Zaragoza 1-2
May 22 Real Soci… vs Atlético … 1-2
Athletic Club Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 09 Athletic … vs Osasuna 0-0
Oct 23 Athletic … vs FC Barcel… 4-0
Oct 15 Athletic … vs Atlético … 0-1
Oct 08 Athletic … vs Sevilla FC 1-1
Aug 21 Athletic … vs Valencia 1-0
Aug 15 Athletic … vs Mallorca 0-0
Aug 05 Athletic … vs Real Soci… 1-0
May 22 Athletic … vs Sevilla FC 1-0
May 07 Athletic … vs Valencia 0-0
Apr 30 Athletic … vs Atlético … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Sociedad in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 05, 2022 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Real Sociedad Friendlies Clu…
Feb 20, 2022 Athletic Club 4 - 0 Real Sociedad La Liga
Oct 31, 2021 Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Athletic Club La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Sociedad Power 35
Athletic Club Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Real Sociedad Position

+3

Position Gap

11

Athletic Club Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.