AI Match Insights

Friendlies Clubs Aug 05, 2022

Athletic Club

Home
VS
18:45

Real Sociedad

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Athletic Club Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Real Sociedad Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Real Sociedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Athletic Club Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 22 Athletic … vs Sevilla FC 1-0
May 07 Athletic … vs Valencia 0-0
Apr 30 Athletic … vs Atlético … 2-0
Apr 17 Athletic … vs Celta de … 0-2
Mar 07 Athletic … vs Levante 3-1
Mar 02 Athletic … vs Valencia 1-0
Feb 27 Athletic … vs FC Barcel… 4-0
Feb 20 Athletic … vs Real Soci… 4-0
Feb 14 Athletic … vs Mallorca 3-2
Feb 03 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 1-0
Real Sociedad Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 27 Real Soci… vs Zaragoza 1-2
May 22 Real Soci… vs Atlético … 1-2
May 15 Real Soci… vs Villarreal 1-2
May 06 Real Soci… vs Levante 2-1
Apr 21 Real Soci… vs FC Barcel… 0-1
Apr 10 Real Soci… vs Elche 1-2
Mar 19 Real Soci… vs Mirandes 1-3
Mar 13 Real Soci… vs Alavés 1-0
Mar 07 Real Soci… vs Sporting … 2-1
Feb 20 Real Soci… vs Athletic … 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Sociedad struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 20, 2022 Athletic Club 4 - 0 Real Sociedad La Liga
Oct 31, 2021 Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Athletic Club La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Athletic Club to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Athletic Club Power 30
Real Sociedad Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.