AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Aug 20, 2023

Utrecht

Home
VS
10:15

Heerenveen

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Utrecht Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Heerenveen Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.33 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Utrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Heerenveen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Utrecht Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 14 Utrecht vs Jong AZ 1-0
Aug 12 Utrecht vs PSV Eindh… 2-0
Jun 04 Utrecht vs Sparta Ro… 0-1
Jun 01 Utrecht vs Sparta Ro… 1-2
May 19 Utrecht vs VVV Venlo 1-1
May 13 Utrecht vs Waalwijk 2-0
Apr 17 Utrecht vs Jong AZ 4-0
Apr 16 Utrecht vs FC Twente 1-0
Apr 02 Utrecht vs FC Volend… 0-0
Mar 18 Utrecht vs GO Ahead … 1-2
Heerenveen Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Heerenveen vs Waalwijk 3-1
Jun 04 Heerenveen vs FC Twente 4-0
Jun 01 Heerenveen vs FC Twente 1-2
May 21 Heerenveen vs PSV Eindh… 3-3
Apr 15 Heerenveen vs Sparta Ro… 4-0
Mar 19 Heerenveen vs Groningen 0-2
Mar 04 Heerenveen vs FC Twente 3-3
Mar 01 Heerenveen vs Feyenoord 0-1
Feb 25 Heerenveen vs Waalwijk 1-4
Feb 12 Heerenveen vs Feyenoord 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Utrecht struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Heerenveen struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2023 Utrecht 1 - 0 Heerenveen Eredivisie
Oct 29, 2022 Heerenveen 1 - 2 Utrecht Eredivisie
Jul 08, 2022 Heerenveen 0 - 1 Utrecht Friendlies Clu…
Feb 27, 2022 Heerenveen 1 - 2 Utrecht Eredivisie
Oct 23, 2021 Utrecht 2 - 1 Heerenveen Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Utrecht Power 0
Heerenveen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Utrecht Position

-2

Position Gap

10

Heerenveen Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.