AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division May 19, 2023

Aris

Home
VS
16:00

Anorthosis

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Aris Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Anorthosis Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.90 - 0.94
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.9 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aris Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Anorthosis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Aris Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Aris vs Anorthosis 2-3
Feb 18 Aris vs Apollon L… 1-3
Jan 04 Aris vs Anorthosis 1-0
Dec 11 Aris vs AEL 0-0
Dec 11 Aris vs Omonia Ni… 1-0
Nov 12 Aris vs Apollon L… 2-0
Sep 16 Aris vs Anorthosis 1-1
Aug 29 Aris vs Omonia Ni… 1-0
Aug 28 Aris vs AEL 2-1
Jan 31 Aris vs AEL 1-2
Anorthosis Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 Anorthosis vs AEL 2-0
May 04 Anorthosis vs Olympiako… 4-1
Apr 19 Anorthosis vs Karmiotis… 0-0
Apr 12 Anorthosis vs Aris 2-3
Apr 09 Anorthosis vs AEL 0-2
Mar 19 Anorthosis vs Olympiako… 1-2
Mar 02 Anorthosis vs Olympiako… 1-1
Feb 16 Anorthosis vs Olympiako… 2-1
Feb 02 Anorthosis vs Omonia Ni… 4-1
Jan 15 Anorthosis vs Apollon L… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Anorthosis in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2023 Anorthosis 2 - 3 Aris First Division
Jan 04, 2023 Aris 1 - 0 Anorthosis First Division
Sep 16, 2022 Anorthosis 1 - 1 Aris First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aris to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aris Power 0
Anorthosis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Aris Position

+6

Position Gap

11

Anorthosis Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.