AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Jan 04, 2023

Aris

Home
VS
17:00

Anorthosis

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Aris Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Anorthosis Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.25 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.5 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aris Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Anorthosis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Aris Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 11 Aris vs AEL 0-0
Dec 11 Aris vs Omonia Ni… 1-0
Nov 12 Aris vs Apollon L… 2-0
Sep 16 Aris vs Anorthosis 1-1
Aug 29 Aris vs Omonia Ni… 1-0
Aug 28 Aris vs AEL 2-1
Jan 31 Aris vs AEL 1-2
Oct 30 Aris vs AEL 0-1
Anorthosis Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Anorthosis vs Karmiotis… 0-2
Dec 17 Anorthosis vs Apoel Nic… 1-0
Dec 10 Anorthosis vs Olympiako… 1-1
Oct 31 Anorthosis vs Omonia Ni… 2-0
Oct 10 Anorthosis vs Apollon L… 0-1
Oct 01 Anorthosis vs AEK Larna… 4-0
Sep 16 Anorthosis vs Aris 1-1
Sep 09 Anorthosis vs Karmiotis… 0-2
Sep 04 Anorthosis vs Apoel Nic… 0-2
Aug 27 Anorthosis vs Olympiako… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Anorthosis struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 16, 2022 Anorthosis 1 - 1 Aris First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aris to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aris Power 0
Anorthosis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Aris Position

+6

Position Gap

11

Anorthosis Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.