AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie C Jul 20, 2024

São Bernardo

Home
VS
20:00

Ferroviária

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
São Bernardo Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Ferroviária Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.19 - 0.92
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.9
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
São Bernardo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Ferroviária Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
São Bernardo Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 23 São Berna… vs USAC 1-1
Mar 16 São Berna… vs São José … 2-0
Mar 10 São Berna… vs Mirassol 0-2
Mar 08 São Berna… vs Marcílio … 2-2
Mar 03 São Berna… vs Água Santa 2-0
Feb 24 São Berna… vs Desportiv… 0-3
Feb 21 São Berna… vs USAC 2-0
Feb 10 São Berna… vs RB Bragan… 1-1
Feb 04 São Berna… vs Ponte Pre… 3-3
Jan 27 São Berna… vs XV de Pir… 0-2
Ferroviária Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 27 Ferroviár… vs Internaci… 1-1
Jun 15 Ferroviár… vs Santos 2-0
May 28 Ferroviár… vs Floresta 1-2
Mar 27 Ferroviár… vs Juventude 0-0
Mar 24 Ferroviár… vs Juventude 1-1
Mar 16 Ferroviár… vs Ceará 1-1
Mar 09 Ferroviár… vs Ceará 2-3
Mar 06 Ferroviár… vs Taubaté 0-0
Feb 07 Ferroviár… vs Fortaleza 1-1
Jan 28 Ferroviár… vs Uniclinic… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • São Bernardo in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 24, 2024 Ferroviária 1 - 1 São Bernardo Paulista - A2
Feb 04, 2023 Ferroviária 0 - 1 São Bernardo Paulista - A1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: São Bernardo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
São Bernardo Power 0
Ferroviária Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.