AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Jan 07, 2024

Olympiakos Piraeus

Home
VS
19:00

AEK Athens FC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Olympiakos Piraeus Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
AEK Athens FC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.83 - 1.13
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.1
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
AEK Athens FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Olympiakos Piraeus Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 21 Olympiako… vs Atromitos 0-0
Dec 14 Olympiako… vs TSC Bačka… 5-2
Dec 03 Olympiako… vs Volos NFC 2-2
Nov 12 Olympiako… vs Asteras T… 0-2
Nov 05 Olympiako… vs PAOK 2-4
Oct 30 Olympiako… vs OFI Crete 0-2
Sep 27 Olympiako… vs Aris Thes… 4-1
Sep 24 Olympiako… vs Kifisia 4-0
Aug 27 Olympiako… vs Atromitos 4-0
Apr 30 Olympiako… vs Volos NFC 5-0
AEK Athens FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 18 AEK Athen… vs Panetolik… 2-2
Oct 22 AEK Athen… vs Asteras T… 0-3
Oct 08 AEK Athen… vs Panetolik… 3-0
Oct 02 AEK Athen… vs OFI Crete 2-0
Sep 28 AEK Athen… vs Atromitos 2-1
Sep 25 AEK Athen… vs Panathina… 1-2
Apr 30 AEK Athen… vs Panathina… 0-0
Mar 08 AEK Athen… vs Atromitos 0-1
Mar 05 AEK Athen… vs OFI Crete 0-3
Feb 25 AEK Athen… vs Asteras T… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AEK Athens FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Olympiakos Piraeus to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Olympiakos Piraeus Power 0
AEK Athens FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Olympiakos Piraeus Position

+1

Position Gap

2

AEK Athens FC Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.