AI Match Insights
Campionato Sep 14, 2024
Tre Fiori
HomeVS
13:00
San Marino Academy
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Tre Fiori Win
Draw
San Marino Academy Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
40%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
Combined: 43%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.59 - 1.34
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Fiori Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
San Marino Academy Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (19%)
0-0 (15%)
0-2 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
1-0 (9%)
1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
Under 2.5 Goals
70%
Tre Fiori Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 | Tre Fiori vs Murata | 2-1 |
| Apr 27 | Tre Fiori vs Murata | 0-0 |
| Apr 07 | Tre Fiori vs Libertas | 1-2 |
| Apr 03 | Tre Fiori vs Virtus | 0-2 |
| Mar 16 | Tre Fiori vs Murata | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Tre Fiori vs La Fiorit… | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Tre Fiori vs Virtus | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Tre Fiori vs San Marin… | 1-3 |
| Feb 25 | Tre Fiori vs Juvenes /… | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Tre Fiori vs Cosmos | 1-1 |
San Marino Academy Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30 | San Marin… vs Domagnano | 2-1 |
| Apr 21 | San Marin… vs Folgore | 1-1 |
| Apr 06 | San Marin… vs Domagnano | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | San Marin… vs La Fiorit… | 0-3 |
| Mar 12 | San Marin… vs Faetano | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | San Marin… vs Tre Fiori | 1-3 |
| Feb 24 | San Marin… vs Fiorentino | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | San Marin… vs Juvenes /… | 1-2 |
| Feb 10 | San Marin… vs Libertas | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | San Marin… vs Cailungo | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Tre Fiori struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- San Marino Academy struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 02, 2024 | Tre Fiori | 1 - 3 | San Marino Academy | Campionato |
| Nov 11, 2023 | San Marino Academy | 1 - 2 | Tre Fiori | Campionato |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Tre Fiori to win (46% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
46% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Tre Fiori Power
0
San Marino Academy Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Tre Fiori Position+10
Position Gap15
San Marino Academy Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.