AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Jan 18, 2025

Everton Women

Home
VS
17:30

Aston Villa Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Everton Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Aston Villa Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.25 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Everton Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Everton Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 Everton W… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Nov 03 Everton W… vs Chelsea W… 0-5
Oct 13 Everton W… vs West Ham … 1-1
Oct 06 Everton W… vs Arsenal W… 0-0
Sep 21 Everton W… vs Brighton … 4-0
Apr 28 Everton W… vs Arsenal W… 1-1
Apr 19 Everton W… vs Brighton … 1-2
Mar 16 Everton W… vs Aston Vil… 1-2
Mar 10 Everton W… vs Chelsea W… 0-1
Mar 02 Everton W… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Aston Villa Women Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 4-0
Nov 23 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 1-0
Nov 10 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 0-0
Nov 03 Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… 1-2
Oct 20 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Oct 05 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 4-2
Sep 29 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 2-2
May 18 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 1-2
May 04 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 0-1
Mar 24 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aston Villa Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2024 Everton Women 1 - 2 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Jan 13, 2024 Aston Villa Women 0 - 3 Everton Women FA Women's Cup
Nov 26, 2023 Aston Villa Women 1 - 2 Everton Women FA WSL
Mar 05, 2023 Everton Women 0 - 2 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Oct 26, 2022 Everton Women 1 - 1 Aston Villa Women WSL Cup
Oct 22, 2022 Aston Villa Women 0 - 1 Everton Women FA WSL
Mar 02, 2022 Aston Villa Women 0 - 1 Everton Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Everton Women Power 27
Aston Villa Women Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Everton Women Position

-3

Position Gap

7

Aston Villa Women Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.