AI Match Insights

FA Women's Cup Jan 13, 2024

Aston Villa Women

Home
VS
12:30

Everton Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Aston Villa Women Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Everton Women Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.69 - 1.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Everton Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Aston Villa Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 1-0
Dec 09 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Nov 26 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 1-2
Oct 21 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 2-4
Oct 15 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 2-1
Oct 08 Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… 2-0
Oct 01 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 1-2
May 27 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 0-2
May 21 Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… 3-3
Apr 28 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 2-3
Everton Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Everton W… vs Mancheste… 1-4
Dec 10 Everton W… vs West Ham … 0-1
Nov 26 Everton W… vs Aston Vil… 1-2
Nov 12 Everton W… vs Chelsea W… 0-3
Oct 11 Everton W… vs Mancheste… 1-2
Oct 01 Everton W… vs Brighton … 1-2
May 27 Everton W… vs Mancheste… 3-2
May 21 Everton W… vs Brighton … 2-1
May 17 Everton W… vs Arsenal W… 1-4
May 07 Everton W… vs Chelsea W… 7-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aston Villa Women struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Everton Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 26, 2023 Aston Villa Women 1 - 2 Everton Women FA WSL
Mar 05, 2023 Everton Women 0 - 2 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Oct 26, 2022 Everton Women 1 - 1 Aston Villa Women WSL Cup
Oct 22, 2022 Aston Villa Women 0 - 1 Everton Women FA WSL
Mar 02, 2022 Aston Villa Women 0 - 1 Everton Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aston Villa Women to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aston Villa Women Power 30
Everton Women Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.