AI Match Insights
FA Women's Cup Jan 13, 2024
Aston Villa Women
HomeVS
12:30
Everton Women
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Aston Villa Women Win
Draw
Everton Women Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.69 - 1.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Everton Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
2-2 (5%)
3-0 (4%)
3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
Aston Villa Women Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 17 | Aston Vil… vs Brighton … | 1-0 |
| Dec 09 | Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… | 2-1 |
| Nov 26 | Aston Vil… vs Everton W… | 1-2 |
| Oct 21 | Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… | 2-4 |
| Oct 15 | Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… | 2-1 |
| Oct 08 | Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… | 2-0 |
| Oct 01 | Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… | 1-2 |
| May 27 | Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… | 0-2 |
| May 21 | Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… | 3-3 |
| Apr 28 | Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… | 2-3 |
Everton Women Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 17 | Everton W… vs Mancheste… | 1-4 |
| Dec 10 | Everton W… vs West Ham … | 0-1 |
| Nov 26 | Everton W… vs Aston Vil… | 1-2 |
| Nov 12 | Everton W… vs Chelsea W… | 0-3 |
| Oct 11 | Everton W… vs Mancheste… | 1-2 |
| Oct 01 | Everton W… vs Brighton … | 1-2 |
| May 27 | Everton W… vs Mancheste… | 3-2 |
| May 21 | Everton W… vs Brighton … | 2-1 |
| May 17 | Everton W… vs Arsenal W… | 1-4 |
| May 07 | Everton W… vs Chelsea W… | 7-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Aston Villa Women struggling (4L in last 5) Home
- Everton Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2023 | Aston Villa Women | 1 - 2 | Everton Women | FA WSL |
| Mar 05, 2023 | Everton Women | 0 - 2 | Aston Villa Women | FA WSL |
| Oct 26, 2022 | Everton Women | 1 - 1 | Aston Villa Women | WSL Cup |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Aston Villa Women | 0 - 1 | Everton Women | FA WSL |
| Mar 02, 2022 | Aston Villa Women | 0 - 1 | Everton Women | FA WSL |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Aston Villa Women to win (40% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1
40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Aston Villa Women Power
30
Everton Women Power
27
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.