AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Nov 26, 2023

Aston Villa Women

Home
VS
16:30

Everton Women

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Aston Villa Women Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Everton Women Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 4.50 - 2.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 2.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Everton Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 3-3 (3%) 3-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Aston Villa Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 21 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 2-4
Oct 15 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 2-1
Oct 08 Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… 2-0
Oct 01 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 1-2
May 27 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 0-2
May 21 Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… 3-3
Apr 28 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 2-3
Apr 23 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 3-3
Mar 19 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 2-1
Mar 05 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 0-2
Everton Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 Everton W… vs Chelsea W… 0-3
Oct 11 Everton W… vs Mancheste… 1-2
Oct 01 Everton W… vs Brighton … 1-2
May 27 Everton W… vs Mancheste… 3-2
May 21 Everton W… vs Brighton … 2-1
May 17 Everton W… vs Arsenal W… 1-4
May 07 Everton W… vs Chelsea W… 7-0
Apr 19 Everton W… vs Brighton … 3-2
Mar 05 Everton W… vs Aston Vil… 0-2
Jan 22 Everton W… vs West Ham … 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aston Villa Women struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Everton Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2023 Everton Women 0 - 2 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Oct 26, 2022 Everton Women 1 - 1 Aston Villa Women WSL Cup
Oct 22, 2022 Aston Villa Women 0 - 1 Everton Women FA WSL
Mar 02, 2022 Aston Villa Women 0 - 1 Everton Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aston Villa Women Power 30
Everton Women Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Aston Villa Women Position

+3

Position Gap

10

Everton Women Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.