AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Apr 02, 2023

Monterrey

Home
VS
01:15

Club Tijuana

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Monterrey Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Club Tijuana Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.69 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monterrey Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Club Tijuana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Monterrey Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 Monterrey vs Necaxa 2-1
Feb 06 Monterrey vs Toluca 2-1
Feb 05 Monterrey vs San Jose … 1-2
Feb 04 Monterrey vs San Jose … 2-1
Sep 04 Monterrey vs Mazatlán … 0-0
Aug 29 Monterrey vs Club Tiju… 0-3
Aug 18 Monterrey vs Toluca 1-1
Aug 13 Monterrey vs Necaxa 1-2
Jul 10 Monterrey vs Club Amér… 3-2
May 01 Monterrey vs Club Tiju… 2-0
Club Tijuana Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 26 Club Tiju… vs Club Amér… 2-1
Feb 20 Club Tiju… vs Club Amér… 2-1
Feb 11 Club Tiju… vs Atletico … 1-0
Sep 02 Club Tiju… vs Atletico … 0-0
Aug 29 Club Tiju… vs Monterrey 0-3
Aug 20 Club Tiju… vs Querétaro 2-0
Jul 24 Club Tiju… vs Club Amér… 2-0
May 01 Club Tiju… vs Monterrey 2-0
Apr 25 Club Tiju… vs Querétaro 2-2
Apr 07 Club Tiju… vs Atletico … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Club Tijuana struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 29, 2022 Club Tijuana 0 - 3 Monterrey Liga MX
May 01, 2022 Monterrey 2 - 0 Club Tijuana Liga MX
Aug 28, 2021 Club Tijuana 2 - 2 Monterrey Liga MX
Feb 28, 2021 Monterrey 1 - 1 Club Tijuana Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monterrey Power 0
Club Tijuana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Monterrey Position

+2

Position Gap

8

Club Tijuana Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.