AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Sep 21, 2024

Fluminense

Home
VS
21:30

Botafogo

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Fluminense Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Botafogo Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.43 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fluminense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (14%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Fluminense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 01 Fluminense vs São Paulo… 2-0
Aug 20 Fluminense vs Remo 2-1
Aug 13 Fluminense vs Remo 2-1
Aug 11 Fluminense vs Vasco DA … 2-0
Aug 08 Fluminense vs Juventude 2-2
Aug 04 Fluminense vs Bahia 1-0
Aug 01 Fluminense vs Juventude 3-2
Jun 30 Fluminense vs Remo 1-0
Jun 23 Fluminense vs Flamengo 0-1
Jun 20 Fluminense vs Cruzeiro 2-0
Botafogo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Botafogo vs Corinthia… 2-1
Sep 14 Botafogo vs São Berna… 1-0
Sep 14 Botafogo vs Novorizon… 2-0
Sep 08 Botafogo vs Volta Red… 0-0
Sep 01 Botafogo vs Fortaleza 2-0
Aug 31 Botafogo vs Remo 2-1
Aug 24 Botafogo vs Ferroviár… 2-0
Aug 22 Botafogo vs Palmeiras 2-2
Aug 19 Botafogo vs Tombense 1-2
Aug 15 Botafogo vs Palmeiras 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 11, 2024 Botafogo 1 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Mar 03, 2024 Fluminense 2 - 4 Botafogo Carioca - 1
Jan 31, 2024 Fluminense 0 - 0 Botafogo Paraibano
Oct 08, 2023 Fluminense 0 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
May 20, 2023 Botafogo 1 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Apr 29, 2023 Botafogo 2 - 0 Fluminense Friendlies Clu…
Jan 29, 2023 Fluminense 0 - 1 Botafogo Carioca - 1
Jan 15, 2023 Botafogo 2 - 2 Fluminense Paraibano
Oct 23, 2022 Fluminense 2 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
May 25, 2022 Botafogo 1 - 1 Fluminense Serie C
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fluminense Power 0
Botafogo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Fluminense Position

-3

Position Gap

5

Botafogo Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.