AI Match Insights

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Serie A Jun 11, 2024

Botafogo

Home
VS
23:00

Fluminense

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Botafogo Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Fluminense Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.65 - 0.28
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Fluminense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (39%) 1-0 (26%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 93%
Botafogo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 02 Botafogo vs Corinthia… 0-1
May 28 Botafogo vs Novorizon… 0-1
May 23 Botafogo vs Palmeiras 0-0
May 22 Botafogo vs Vitoria 1-2
May 12 Botafogo vs Fortaleza 1-1
May 03 Botafogo vs Palmeiras 2-1
May 02 Botafogo vs Vitoria 1-0
Apr 14 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro 3-2
Apr 13 Botafogo vs Sousa 1-1
Apr 06 Botafogo vs Sousa 0-0
Fluminense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 22 Fluminense vs Sampaio C… 2-0
May 13 Fluminense vs São Paulo… 2-1
May 01 Fluminense vs Sampaio C… 0-2
Apr 20 Fluminense vs Vasco DA … 2-1
Apr 17 Fluminense vs Bahia 2-1
Mar 17 Fluminense vs Flamengo 0-0
Mar 10 Fluminense vs Flamengo 0-2
Mar 10 Fluminense vs Atlético … 1-0
Mar 03 Fluminense vs Botafogo 2-4
Feb 29 Fluminense vs Santos 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fluminense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 03, 2024 Fluminense 2 - 4 Botafogo Carioca - 1
Jan 31, 2024 Fluminense 0 - 0 Botafogo Paraibano
Oct 08, 2023 Fluminense 0 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
May 20, 2023 Botafogo 1 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Apr 29, 2023 Botafogo 2 - 0 Fluminense Friendlies Clu…
Jan 29, 2023 Fluminense 0 - 1 Botafogo Carioca - 1
Jan 15, 2023 Botafogo 2 - 2 Fluminense Paraibano
Oct 23, 2022 Fluminense 2 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
May 25, 2022 Botafogo 1 - 1 Fluminense Serie C
May 21, 2022 Fluminense 1 - 0 Botafogo Paraibano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Botafogo Power 0
Fluminense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Botafogo Position

+3

Position Gap

8

Fluminense Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.