AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Carioca - 1 Mar 03, 2024

Fluminense

Home
VS
19:00

Botafogo

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Fluminense Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Botafogo Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 43%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.87
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fluminense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (31%) 0-1 (27%) 0-2 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
Fluminense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 29 Fluminense vs Santos 2-1
Feb 25 Fluminense vs Santos 0-3
Feb 25 Fluminense vs Flamengo 2-0
Feb 24 Fluminense vs São José … 0-0
Feb 21 Fluminense vs Monte Azul 1-1
Feb 18 Fluminense vs Figueiren… 1-1
Feb 17 Fluminense vs Madureira… 0-1
Feb 15 Fluminense vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Feb 04 Fluminense vs Boavista 2-2
Feb 03 Fluminense vs Taubaté 0-1
Botafogo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Botafogo vs Vasco DA … 2-4
Feb 14 Botafogo vs Volta Red… 0-3
Jan 31 Botafogo vs Fluminense 0-0
Jan 31 Botafogo vs Portugues… 1-1
Jan 27 Botafogo vs RB Bragan… 1-1
Jan 20 Botafogo vs Bangu 2-0
Jan 07 Botafogo vs Oeste 2-1
Dec 07 Botafogo vs Internaci… 3-1
Dec 03 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro 0-0
Nov 30 Botafogo vs Corinthia… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fluminense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 31, 2024 Fluminense 0 - 0 Botafogo Paraibano
Oct 08, 2023 Fluminense 0 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
May 20, 2023 Botafogo 1 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Apr 29, 2023 Botafogo 2 - 0 Fluminense Friendlies Clu…
Jan 29, 2023 Fluminense 0 - 1 Botafogo Carioca - 1
Jan 15, 2023 Botafogo 2 - 2 Fluminense Paraibano
Oct 23, 2022 Fluminense 2 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
May 25, 2022 Botafogo 1 - 1 Fluminense Serie C
May 21, 2022 Fluminense 1 - 0 Botafogo Paraibano
May 14, 2022 Botafogo 1 - 2 Fluminense Paraibano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fluminense to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fluminense Power 0
Botafogo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Fluminense Position

0

Position Gap

1

Botafogo Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.