AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Jun 04, 2020

Benfica

Home
VS
18:15

Tondela

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Benfica Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Tondela Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 91%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 0.00 - 0.00
Key Insights
Position gap: 14 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Benfica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Tondela Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Benfica Form 50%

No recent form data available

Tondela Form 50%

No recent form data available

Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

MASTER: Benfica to win (82% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 82% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Benfica Power 0
Tondela Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Benfica Position

+14

Position Gap

17

Tondela Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.