AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Apr 03, 2025

FC Luzern

Home
VS
18:30

FC St. Gallen

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
FC Luzern Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
FC St. Gallen Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.30 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Luzern Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
FC St. Gallen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
FC Luzern Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 FC Luzern vs Lausanne 1-4
Mar 09 FC Luzern vs FC Basel … 1-1
Feb 23 FC Luzern vs FC Sion 2-1
Feb 15 FC Luzern vs FC Lugano 2-0
Feb 09 FC Luzern vs FC Winter… 3-2
Feb 06 FC Luzern vs FC Basel … 2-1
Feb 02 FC Luzern vs FC St. Ga… 2-0
Jan 19 FC Luzern vs Lausanne 0-0
Jan 11 FC Luzern vs FC Winter… 1-5
Dec 14 FC Luzern vs FC Winter… 3-4
FC St. Gallen Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 FC St. Ga… vs BSC Young… 1-0
Mar 08 FC St. Ga… vs Grasshopp… 3-1
Mar 01 FC St. Ga… vs FC Winter… 4-0
Feb 22 FC St. Ga… vs FC Basel … 2-2
Feb 09 FC St. Ga… vs FC Zurich 1-2
Feb 05 FC St. Ga… vs FC Lugano 2-1
Feb 02 FC St. Ga… vs FC Luzern 2-0
Jan 18 FC St. Ga… vs Servette … 1-1
Dec 15 FC St. Ga… vs FC Zurich 0-2
Dec 08 FC St. Ga… vs FC Basel … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Luzern in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 02, 2025 FC Luzern 2 - 0 FC St. Gallen Super League
Sep 21, 2024 FC St. Gallen 2 - 3 FC Luzern Super League
Apr 01, 2024 FC St. Gallen 1 - 1 FC Luzern Super League
Feb 04, 2024 FC Luzern 1 - 0 FC St. Gallen Super League
Aug 06, 2023 FC St. Gallen 2 - 1 FC Luzern Super League
May 20, 2023 FC Luzern 1 - 1 FC St. Gallen Super League
Feb 19, 2023 FC St. Gallen 2 - 2 FC Luzern Super League
Oct 19, 2022 FC Luzern 3 - 3 FC St. Gallen Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Luzern Power 0
FC St. Gallen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

FC Luzern Position

-8

Position Gap

2

FC St. Gallen Position
Home Win Rate: 10%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.