AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 2 Mar 19, 2022

Auxerre

Home
VS
14:00

Toulouse

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Auxerre Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Toulouse Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.27 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.8
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Auxerre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Toulouse Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Auxerre Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Auxerre vs Paris FC 1-2
Dec 18 Auxerre vs Lille 3-1
Oct 16 Auxerre vs Toulouse 6-0
Sep 03 Auxerre vs Metz 0-3
Aug 16 Auxerre vs Paris FC 1-1
Mar 13 Auxerre vs Paris FC 0-0
Feb 02 Auxerre vs Toulouse 3-1
Nov 21 Auxerre vs Paris FC 0-3
Sep 26 Auxerre vs Toulouse 3-1
Toulouse Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Toulouse vs Amiens 6-0
Nov 27 Toulouse vs Lyon Duch… 1-3
Oct 23 Toulouse vs Paris FC 2-2
Oct 16 Toulouse vs Auxerre 6-0
Oct 02 Toulouse vs Amiens 0-0
Jul 21 Toulouse vs Nepal 0-2
May 01 Toulouse vs Paris FC 3-1
Feb 27 Toulouse vs Amiens 3-0
Feb 02 Toulouse vs Auxerre 3-1
Jan 05 Toulouse vs Paris FC 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Auxerre struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 16, 2021 Toulouse 6 - 0 Auxerre Ligue 2
Feb 02, 2021 Auxerre 3 - 1 Toulouse Ligue 2
Sep 26, 2020 Toulouse 3 - 1 Auxerre Ligue 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Auxerre to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Auxerre Power 27
Toulouse Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.