AI Match Insights

Challenger Pro League Mar 08, 2024

Beerschot Wilrijk

Home
VS
19:00

Lierse Kempenzonen

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Beerschot Wilrijk Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Lierse Kempenzonen Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 3.07 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Beerschot Wilrijk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Lierse Kempenzonen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Beerschot Wilrijk Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Beerschot… vs Seraing U… 0-0
Feb 04 Beerschot… vs Liège 1-4
Jan 28 Beerschot… vs Club NXT 3-0
Dec 01 Beerschot… vs Patro Eis… 0-2
Nov 26 Beerschot… vs Liège 3-0
Nov 11 Beerschot… vs Seraing U… 1-2
Nov 05 Beerschot… vs Club NXT 0-2
Sep 24 Beerschot… vs Lierse Ke… 1-3
Sep 16 Beerschot… vs Waasland-… 0-0
Sep 09 Beerschot… vs Lokeren-T… 3-3
Lierse Kempenzonen Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Lierse Ke… vs Francs Bo… 3-1
Feb 16 Lierse Ke… vs KRC Genk … 3-1
Feb 10 Lierse Ke… vs Waasland-… 3-1
Dec 17 Lierse Ke… vs Lommel Un… 3-0
Nov 12 Lierse Ke… vs Liège 2-4
Nov 04 Lierse Ke… vs Waasland-… 2-2
Oct 28 Lierse Ke… vs KRC Genk … 1-3
Sep 30 Lierse Ke… vs RSC Ander… 3-3
Sep 24 Lierse Ke… vs Beerschot… 1-3
Sep 17 Lierse Ke… vs Francs Bo… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Beerschot Wilrijk in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Lierse Kempenzonen in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 24, 2023 Lierse Kempenzonen 1 - 3 Beerschot Wilrijk Challenger Pro…
May 13, 2023 Beerschot Wilrijk 1 - 2 Lierse Kempenzonen Challenger Pro…
Mar 05, 2023 Lierse Kempenzonen 0 - 1 Beerschot Wilrijk Challenger Pro…
Feb 04, 2023 Lierse Kempenzonen 1 - 0 Beerschot Wilrijk Challenger Pro…
Aug 28, 2022 Beerschot Wilrijk 2 - 3 Lierse Kempenzonen Challenger Pro…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Beerschot Wilrijk to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Beerschot Wilrijk Power 0
Lierse Kempenzonen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Beerschot Wilrijk Position

+8

Position Gap

11

Lierse Kempenzonen Position

Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.