AI Match Insights

3. Liga Dec 08, 2024

Dynamo Dresden

Home
VS
15:30

Arminia Bielefeld

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Dynamo Dresden Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Arminia Bielefeld Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.47 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dynamo Dresden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Arminia Bielefeld Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Dynamo Dresden Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Dynamo Dr… vs SV Darmst… 2-3
Aug 18 Dynamo Dr… vs Fortuna D… 2-0
May 18 Dynamo Dr… vs MSV Duisb… 4-0
May 11 Dynamo Dr… vs SpVgg Unt… 1-2
May 04 Dynamo Dr… vs Verl 0-1
Apr 27 Dynamo Dr… vs Jahn Rege… 1-1
Apr 20 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Viktor… 0-2
Jan 10 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Kaiser… 3-0
Jan 06 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Augsbu… 2-2
Dec 20 Dynamo Dr… vs Arminia B… 0-1
Arminia Bielefeld Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 Arminia B… vs SC Freibu… 3-1
Oct 30 Arminia B… vs Union Ber… 2-0
Aug 17 Arminia B… vs Hannover … 2-0
May 18 Arminia B… vs TSV 1860 … 0-2
May 11 Arminia B… vs Hallesche… 0-0
May 04 Arminia B… vs Erzgebirg… 1-0
Apr 26 Arminia B… vs VfB Lubeck 0-0
Jan 21 Arminia B… vs Preussen … 2-1
Jan 13 Arminia B… vs Fortuna D… 2-2
Dec 20 Arminia B… vs Dynamo Dr… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dynamo Dresden in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Arminia Bielefeld in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 20, 2023 Arminia Bielefeld 0 - 1 Dynamo Dresden 3. Liga
Aug 05, 2023 Dynamo Dresden 3 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld 3. Liga
Jun 15, 2020 Arminia Bielefeld 4 - 0 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dynamo Dresden to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dynamo Dresden Power 46
Arminia Bielefeld Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.