AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Dec 20, 2023

Arminia Bielefeld

Home
VS
18:00

Dynamo Dresden

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Arminia Bielefeld Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Dynamo Dresden Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.69 - 0.95
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.9
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arminia Bielefeld Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Dynamo Dresden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Arminia Bielefeld Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 19 Arminia B… vs Preussen … 4-0
Aug 12 Arminia B… vs VfL Bochum 2-2
Aug 05 Arminia B… vs Dynamo Dr… 3-1
May 13 Arminia B… vs FC Kaiser… 1-2
Apr 09 Arminia B… vs Fortuna D… 2-2
Apr 02 Arminia B… vs Holstein … 2-3
Jan 14 Arminia B… vs Holstein … 2-1
Nov 05 Arminia B… vs FC Kaiser… 2-3
Oct 01 Arminia B… vs Fortuna D… 4-1
Sep 17 Arminia B… vs Holstein … 4-2
Dynamo Dresden Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 05 Dynamo Dr… vs Arminia B… 3-1
May 24 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Kaiser… 0-2
May 20 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Kaiser… 0-0
Apr 22 Dynamo Dr… vs Fortuna D… 2-2
Apr 16 Dynamo Dr… vs Holstein … 0-0
Nov 21 Dynamo Dr… vs Fortuna D… 1-0
Nov 05 Dynamo Dr… vs Holstein … 2-1
Jul 03 Dynamo Dr… vs Eintracht… 0-1
Feb 06 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Augsbu… 0-1
Jan 23 Dynamo Dr… vs FC Kaiser… 4-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 05, 2023 Dynamo Dresden 3 - 1 Arminia Bielefeld 3. Liga
Jun 15, 2020 Arminia Bielefeld 4 - 0 Dynamo Dresden 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Arminia Bielefeld to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arminia Bielefeld Power 46
Dynamo Dresden Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.