AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tocantinense Mar 18, 2023

Capital

Home
VS
19:00

Bela Vista TO

Away
AI Predictions 51.7% Confidence
Capital Win
51.7%
Draw
23.7%
Bela Vista TO Win
24.7%
Home Win (52% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.02 - 1.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.3
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Capital Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Bela Vista TO Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Capital Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Capital vs Bela Vist… 1-1
Mar 12 Capital vs Palmeiras 1-1
Feb 19 Capital vs Bela Vist… 2-3
Bela Vista TO Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Bela Vist… vs Tocantinó… 1-1
Feb 11 Bela Vist… vs Capital 1-1
Mar 05 Bela Vist… vs Palmeiras 2-1
Feb 26 Bela Vist… vs Tocantinó… 3-1
Feb 19 Bela Vist… vs Capital 2-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 11, 2023 Capital 1 - 1 Bela Vista TO Tocantinense
Feb 19, 2022 Bela Vista TO 2 - 3 Capital Tocantinense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Capital to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Capital Power 0
Bela Vista TO Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.