AI Match Insights

Tocantinense Feb 11, 2023

Capital

Home
VS
19:00

Bela Vista TO

Away
AI Predictions 58.3% Confidence
Capital Win
58.3%
Draw
22.3%
Bela Vista TO Win
19.3%
Home Win (58% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 4.50 - 1.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Capital Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Bela Vista TO Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Capital Form 16.7%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Capital vs Palmeiras 1-1
Feb 19 Capital vs Bela Vist… 2-3
Feb 12 Capital vs Gurupi 3-0
Bela Vista TO Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Bela Vist… vs Palmeiras 2-1
Feb 26 Bela Vist… vs Tocantinó… 3-1
Feb 19 Bela Vist… vs Capital 2-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 19, 2022 Bela Vista TO 2 - 3 Capital Tocantinense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Capital to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Capital Power 0
Bela Vista TO Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.