AI Match Insights
1a Divisió Apr 28, 2024
FC Santa Coloma
HomeVS
16:30
Ordino
AwayAI Predictions 71.0% Confidence
FC Santa Coloma Win
Draw
Ordino Win
Home Win
(71% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Combined: 53%
Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.78 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Santa Coloma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Ordino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%)
2-0 (22%)
0-0 (14%)
3-0 (13%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
FC Santa Coloma Form 20.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25 | FC Santa … vs Inter Clu… | 0-1 |
| Apr 21 | FC Santa … vs Penya Enc… | 2-4 |
| Apr 21 | FC Santa … vs Ordino | 1-2 |
| Apr 14 | FC Santa … vs Carroi | 4-0 |
| Apr 07 | FC Santa … vs Esperança… | 0-6 |
| Apr 06 | FC Santa … vs Carroi | 0-3 |
| Mar 10 | FC Santa … vs Esperança… | 2-0 |
| Mar 02 | FC Santa … vs Inter Clu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | FC Santa … vs Ordino | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | FC Santa … vs Inter Clu… | 0-1 |
Ordino Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21 | Ordino vs FC Santa … | 1-2 |
| Apr 14 | Ordino vs Inter Clu… | 1-0 |
| Apr 07 | Ordino vs Pas de la… | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | Ordino vs Pas de la… | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | Ordino vs Penya Enc… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Ordino vs FC Santa … | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Ordino vs Carroi | 0-2 |
| Jan 27 | Ordino vs FC Santa … | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Ordino vs Inter Clu… | 1-1 |
| Dec 17 | Ordino vs Esperança… | 0-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- FC Santa Coloma in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
- Ordino struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Ordino | 1 - 2 | FC Santa Coloma | 1a Divisió |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FC Santa Coloma | 2 - 0 | Ordino | 1a Divisió |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Ordino | 1 - 1 | FC Santa Coloma | 1a Divisió |
| Nov 26, 2023 | FC Santa Coloma | 2 - 0 | Ordino | 1a Divisió |
| Sep 16, 2023 | FC Santa Coloma | 2 - 0 | Ordino | 1a Divisió |
| May 14, 2023 | Ordino | 1 - 1 | FC Santa Coloma | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 30, 2023 | FC Santa Coloma | 3 - 1 | Ordino | 1a Divisió |
| Mar 12, 2023 | FC Santa Coloma | 3 - 1 | Ordino | 1a Divisió |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Ordino | 1 - 4 | FC Santa Coloma | 1a Divisió |
| Dec 18, 2022 | FC Santa Coloma | 1 - 1 | Ordino | 1a Divisió |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC Santa Coloma to win (61% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
FC Santa Coloma Power
0
Ordino Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
FC Santa Coloma Position+5
Position Gap8
Ordino Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.