AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Mar 05, 2025

Lushnja

Home
VS
12:30

Burreli

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Lushnja Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Burreli Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.51 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lushnja Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Burreli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Lushnja Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Lushnja vs Kastrioti… 1-0
Jan 25 Lushnja vs FK Kukesi 1-2
Dec 21 Lushnja vs Burreli 0-1
Dec 17 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 1-0
Dec 07 Lushnja vs Apolonia … 2-1
Nov 30 Lushnja vs Kastrioti… 2-0
Nov 08 Lushnja vs Korabi Pe… 3-1
Oct 26 Lushnja vs FK Kukesi 5-0
Sep 28 Lushnja vs Burreli 1-0
Sep 21 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 0-0
Burreli Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Burreli vs Kastrioti… 1-0
Feb 23 Burreli vs Apolonia … 0-0
Feb 17 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 1-2
Feb 08 Burreli vs FK Kukesi 0-3
Jan 19 Burreli vs Apolonia … 0-1
Jan 11 Burreli vs Besa Kava… 1-1
Dec 21 Burreli vs Lushnja 0-1
Dec 14 Burreli vs Kastrioti… 3-1
Nov 30 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 0-0
Nov 20 Burreli vs Apolonia … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lushnja in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 21, 2024 Lushnja 0 - 1 Burreli 1st Division
Sep 28, 2024 Burreli 1 - 0 Lushnja 1st Division
Apr 28, 2024 Burreli 2 - 0 Lushnja 1st Division
Dec 10, 2023 Lushnja 2 - 0 Burreli 1st Division
Sep 23, 2023 Burreli 0 - 2 Lushnja 1st Division
Feb 05, 2023 Burreli 1 - 1 Lushnja 1st Division
Sep 25, 2022 Lushnja 1 - 1 Burreli 1st Division
Apr 09, 2022 Lushnja 2 - 0 Burreli 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lushnja Power 0
Burreli Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Lushnja Position

-5

Position Gap

5

Burreli Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.