AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Sep 28, 2024

Burreli

Home
VS
14:00

Lushnja

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Burreli Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Lushnja Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.52 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Burreli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Lushnja Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Burreli Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Burreli vs Kastrioti… 2-1
Sep 11 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 0-0
May 08 Burreli vs Apolonia … 2-1
May 04 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 2-3
Apr 28 Burreli vs Lushnja 2-0
Apr 21 Burreli vs Kastrioti… 3-1
Apr 06 Burreli vs Besa Kava… 0-1
Feb 03 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 1-0
Jan 21 Burreli vs Besa Kava… 0-0
Dec 16 Burreli vs Apolonia … 1-0
Lushnja Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 0-0
Sep 15 Lushnja vs Apolonia … 0-1
Sep 11 Lushnja vs Kastrioti… 2-1
Aug 24 Lushnja vs Korabi Pe… 0-0
May 04 Lushnja vs Kastrioti… 0-0
Apr 28 Lushnja vs Burreli 2-0
Apr 21 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 2-0
Mar 09 Lushnja vs Apolonia … 1-1
Mar 03 Lushnja vs Korabi Pe… 2-1
Feb 25 Lushnja vs Korabi Pe… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Burreli in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 28, 2024 Burreli 2 - 0 Lushnja 1st Division
Dec 10, 2023 Lushnja 2 - 0 Burreli 1st Division
Sep 23, 2023 Burreli 0 - 2 Lushnja 1st Division
Feb 05, 2023 Burreli 1 - 1 Lushnja 1st Division
Sep 25, 2022 Lushnja 1 - 1 Burreli 1st Division
Apr 09, 2022 Lushnja 2 - 0 Burreli 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Burreli to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Burreli Power 0
Lushnja Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Burreli Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Lushnja Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.