AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Apr 28, 2024

Burreli

Home
VS
13:00

Lushnja

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Burreli Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Lushnja Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 3.25 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.3 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Burreli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Lushnja Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Burreli Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Burreli vs Kastrioti… 3-1
Apr 06 Burreli vs Besa Kava… 0-1
Feb 03 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 1-0
Jan 21 Burreli vs Besa Kava… 0-0
Dec 16 Burreli vs Apolonia … 1-0
Dec 10 Burreli vs Lushnja 2-0
Nov 26 Burreli vs Kastrioti… 0-0
Oct 22 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 1-0
Oct 02 Burreli vs Besa Kava… 4-1
Sep 28 Burreli vs Apolonia … 3-0
Lushnja Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 2-0
Mar 09 Lushnja vs Apolonia … 1-1
Mar 03 Lushnja vs Korabi Pe… 2-1
Feb 25 Lushnja vs Korabi Pe… 1-0
Feb 11 Lushnja vs Kastrioti… 1-1
Dec 10 Lushnja vs Burreli 2-0
Nov 27 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 2-1
Nov 22 Lushnja vs Apolonia … 4-1
Nov 11 Lushnja vs Korabi Pe… 0-0
Oct 29 Lushnja vs Kastrioti… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 10, 2023 Lushnja 2 - 0 Burreli 1st Division
Sep 23, 2023 Burreli 0 - 2 Lushnja 1st Division
Feb 05, 2023 Burreli 1 - 1 Lushnja 1st Division
Sep 25, 2022 Lushnja 1 - 1 Burreli 1st Division
Apr 09, 2022 Lushnja 2 - 0 Burreli 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Burreli to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Burreli Power 0
Lushnja Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Burreli Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Lushnja Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.