AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Dec 10, 2023

Lushnja

Home
VS
12:30

Burreli

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Lushnja Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Burreli Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.32 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lushnja Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Burreli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Lushnja Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 27 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 2-1
Nov 22 Lushnja vs Apolonia … 4-1
Nov 11 Lushnja vs Korabi Pe… 0-0
Oct 29 Lushnja vs Kastrioti… 3-1
Sep 23 Lushnja vs Burreli 0-2
Sep 13 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 4-3
Sep 03 Lushnja vs Apolonia … 0-3
May 18 Lushnja vs Skenderbe… 0-0
Apr 01 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 2-1
Mar 11 Lushnja vs Korabi Pe… 3-2
Burreli Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 26 Burreli vs Kastrioti… 0-0
Oct 22 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 1-0
Oct 02 Burreli vs Besa Kava… 4-1
Sep 28 Burreli vs Apolonia … 3-0
Sep 23 Burreli vs Lushnja 0-2
Sep 13 Burreli vs Kastrioti… 0-0
May 18 Burreli vs Besa Kava… 3-0
Apr 23 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 0-0
Apr 07 Burreli vs Apolonia … 2-1
Feb 05 Burreli vs Lushnja 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lushnja in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Burreli struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 23, 2023 Burreli 0 - 2 Lushnja 1st Division
Feb 05, 2023 Burreli 1 - 1 Lushnja 1st Division
Sep 25, 2022 Lushnja 1 - 1 Burreli 1st Division
Apr 09, 2022 Lushnja 2 - 0 Burreli 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lushnja Power 0
Burreli Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Lushnja Position

-5

Position Gap

5

Burreli Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.