AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Sep 23, 2023

Burreli

Home
VS
13:00

Lushnja

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Burreli Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Lushnja Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.56 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.3 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Burreli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Lushnja Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Burreli Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Burreli vs Kastrioti… 0-0
May 18 Burreli vs Besa Kava… 3-0
Apr 23 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 0-0
Apr 07 Burreli vs Apolonia … 2-1
Feb 05 Burreli vs Lushnja 1-1
Jan 28 Burreli vs Besa Kava… 1-0
Dec 11 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 1-1
Sep 25 Burreli vs Lushnja 1-1
Apr 09 Burreli vs Lushnja 2-0
Mar 19 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 0-0
Lushnja Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 4-3
Sep 03 Lushnja vs Apolonia … 0-3
May 18 Lushnja vs Skenderbe… 0-0
Apr 01 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 2-1
Mar 11 Lushnja vs Korabi Pe… 3-2
Feb 25 Lushnja vs Apolonia … 1-1
Feb 05 Lushnja vs Burreli 1-1
Jan 28 Lushnja vs Skenderbe… 2-0
Oct 29 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 1-0
Oct 16 Lushnja vs Korabi Pe… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 05, 2023 Burreli 1 - 1 Lushnja 1st Division
Sep 25, 2022 Lushnja 1 - 1 Burreli 1st Division
Apr 09, 2022 Lushnja 2 - 0 Burreli 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Burreli to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Burreli Power 0
Lushnja Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Burreli Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Lushnja Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.