AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Feb 05, 2023

Burreli

Home
VS
12:00

Lushnja

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Burreli Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Lushnja Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.81 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Burreli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Lushnja Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Burreli Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Burreli vs Besa Kava… 1-0
Dec 11 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 1-1
Sep 25 Burreli vs Lushnja 1-1
Apr 09 Burreli vs Lushnja 2-0
Mar 19 Burreli vs Korabi Pe… 0-0
Nov 01 Burreli vs Kastrioti… 2-1
Lushnja Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Lushnja vs Skenderbe… 2-0
Oct 29 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 1-0
Oct 16 Lushnja vs Korabi Pe… 4-1
Oct 01 Lushnja vs Apolonia … 3-0
Sep 25 Lushnja vs Burreli 1-1
Apr 09 Lushnja vs Burreli 2-0
Feb 19 Lushnja vs Besa Kava… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lushnja struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 25, 2022 Lushnja 1 - 1 Burreli 1st Division
Apr 09, 2022 Lushnja 2 - 0 Burreli 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Burreli to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Burreli Power 0
Lushnja Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Burreli Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Lushnja Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.