AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
C-League Jul 16, 2022

Svay Rieng

Home
VS
11:30

National Defense

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Svay Rieng Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
National Defense Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 63%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.77 - 1.39
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Svay Rieng Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
National Defense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Svay Rieng Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 26 Svay Rieng vs National … 1-3
National Defense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 National … vs Phnom Pen… 2-2
Jul 02 National … vs Boeung Ket 3-4
Mar 26 National … vs Svay Rieng 1-3
Mar 12 National … vs Boeung Ket 0-1
Mar 05 National … vs Phnom Pen… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 26, 2022 National Defense 1 - 3 Svay Rieng C-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Svay Rieng to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Svay Rieng Power 0
National Defense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Svay Rieng Position

+7

Position Gap

8

National Defense Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.