AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azerbaijan Premier League Mar 29, 2025

Neftchi Baku

Home
VS
12:45

Araz

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Neftchi Baku Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Araz Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.31 - 0.36
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Neftchi Baku Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Araz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (51%) 0-1 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 1-1 (6%) 0-2 (3%) 2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 8%
Over 2.5 Goals 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 97%
Neftchi Baku Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 Neftchi B… vs Kokand-19… 0-0
Mar 10 Neftchi B… vs Turan Tov… 1-1
Mar 08 Neftchi B… vs Bunyodkor 2-2
Feb 21 Neftchi B… vs Sumqayıt 1-0
Feb 16 Neftchi B… vs Qarabağ FK 0-1
Feb 10 Neftchi B… vs Zira 1-2
Jan 26 Neftchi B… vs Araz 2-1
Jan 19 Neftchi B… vs Sabah FA 1-1
Dec 21 Neftchi B… vs Turan Tov… 1-1
Dec 08 Neftchi B… vs Sumqayıt 2-0
Araz Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 Araz vs Şamaxı 1-1
Mar 08 Araz vs QarabaÄŸ FK 1-3
Feb 16 Araz vs Turan Tov… 1-0
Feb 10 Araz vs Kəpəz 0-0
Jan 26 Araz vs Neftchi B… 2-1
Dec 22 Araz vs QarabaÄŸ FK 2-0
Nov 29 Araz vs Turan Tov… 1-0
Nov 22 Araz vs Kəpəz 0-2
Nov 01 Araz vs Neftchi B… 0-1
Oct 19 Araz vs Şamaxı 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 26, 2025 Araz 2 - 1 Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Pre…
Nov 01, 2024 Neftchi Baku 0 - 1 Araz Azerbaijan Pre…
Aug 24, 2024 Araz 1 - 1 Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Pre…
Apr 13, 2024 Neftchi Baku 3 - 0 Araz Azerbaijan Pre…
Feb 13, 2024 Araz 1 - 0 Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Pre…
Nov 26, 2023 Neftchi Baku 1 - 1 Araz Azerbaijan Pre…
Sep 16, 2023 Araz 1 - 0 Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Pre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Neftchi Baku Power 0
Araz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Neftchi Baku Position

-2

Position Gap

6

Araz Position
Home Win Rate: 11%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.