AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Apr 02, 2022

Águia de Marabá

Home
VS
19:30

Tuna Luso

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Águia de Marabá Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Tuna Luso Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 4.26 - 1.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 1.6 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Águia de Marabá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Águia de Marabá Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 06 Águia de … vs Remo 1-1
Jan 26 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 1-1
May 05 Águia de … vs Remo 1-0
May 01 Águia de … vs Remo 1-3
Apr 18 Águia de … vs Remo 1-1
Feb 28 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 3-2
Aug 02 Águia de … vs Remo 4-2
Tuna Luso Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Tuna Luso vs Amazônia … 2-4
Jan 30 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 0-3
Jan 26 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-1
May 23 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-1
May 16 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-2
Apr 24 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-0
Feb 28 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 26, 2022 Águia de Marabá 1 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
Feb 28, 2021 Águia de Marabá 3 - 2 Tuna Luso Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Águia de Marabá to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Águia de Marabá Power 0
Tuna Luso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Águia de Marabá Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Tuna Luso Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.