AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Jan 26, 2022

Águia de Marabá

Home
VS
23:00

Tuna Luso

Away
AI Predictions 45.5% Confidence
Águia de Marabá Win
45.5%
Draw
24.9%
Tuna Luso Win
29.6%
Home Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 4.50 - 1.18
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.2 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Águia de Marabá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Águia de Marabá Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 Águia de … vs Remo 1-0
May 01 Águia de … vs Remo 1-3
Apr 18 Águia de … vs Remo 1-1
Feb 28 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 3-2
Aug 02 Águia de … vs Remo 4-2
Tuna Luso Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
May 23 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-1
May 16 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-2
Apr 24 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-0
Feb 28 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Águia de Marabá struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Tuna Luso struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 28, 2021 Águia de Marabá 3 - 2 Tuna Luso Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Águia de Marabá to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Águia de Marabá Power 0
Tuna Luso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Águia de Marabá Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Tuna Luso Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.