AI Match Insights

Botola 2 Mar 05, 2023

El Massira

Home
VS
14:00

Racing de Casablanca

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
El Massira Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Racing de Casablanca Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.36 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.4 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
El Massira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Racing de Casablanca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
El Massira Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 El Massira vs Stade Mar… 4-4
Sep 25 El Massira vs Racing de… 2-1
May 08 El Massira vs Stade Mar… 2-2
Apr 02 El Massira vs Racing de… 1-0
Dec 10 El Massira vs Stade Mar… 0-1
Nov 05 El Massira vs Racing de… 1-0
Racing de Casablanca Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Racing de… vs FAR Rabat 2-1
Feb 18 Racing de… vs Wydad Fès 2-2
Oct 07 Racing de… vs CR Khemis… 0-0
Sep 25 Racing de… vs El Massira 2-1
Sep 10 Racing de… vs Wydad Fès 3-2
Sep 09 Racing de… vs FAR Rabat 1-0
Apr 02 Racing de… vs El Massira 1-0
Feb 19 Racing de… vs CR Khemis… 4-3
Feb 04 Racing de… vs Wydad Fès 1-0
Nov 05 Racing de… vs El Massira 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Racing de Casablanca in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 25, 2022 Racing de Casablanca 2 - 1 El Massira Botola 2
Apr 02, 2022 El Massira 1 - 0 Racing de Casablanca Botola 2
Nov 05, 2021 Racing de Casablanca 1 - 0 El Massira Botola 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: El Massira to win (46% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 46% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
El Massira Power 0
Racing de Casablanca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

El Massira Position

+10

Position Gap

15

Racing de Casablanca Position

Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.