AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Panameña de Fútbol Oct 06, 2024

Herrera

Home
VS
21:00

Deportivo Universitario

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Herrera Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Deportivo Universitario Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.73 - 1.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.6
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Herrera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Deportivo Universitario Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Herrera Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 11 Herrera vs San Franc… 3-3
Aug 03 Herrera vs Deportivo… 4-2
Jul 23 Herrera vs Independi… 1-0
May 03 Herrera vs Independi… 1-0
Apr 20 Herrera vs San Franc… 0-1
Apr 14 Herrera vs Deportivo… 1-2
Feb 17 Herrera vs San Franc… 2-2
Feb 06 Herrera vs Independi… 1-1
Feb 04 Herrera vs Deportivo… 3-3
Oct 19 Herrera vs San Franc… 3-1
Deportivo Universitario Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Deportivo… vs Alianza FC 1-2
Aug 10 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-0
Aug 03 Deportivo… vs Herrera 4-2
Jul 20 Deportivo… vs Veraguas 3-2
Apr 27 Deportivo… vs Independi… 2-1
Apr 20 Deportivo… vs Veraguas 2-1
Apr 14 Deportivo… vs Herrera 1-2
Mar 02 Deportivo… vs Alianza FC 1-0
Feb 18 Deportivo… vs Veraguas 1-1
Feb 04 Deportivo… vs Herrera 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Herrera struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Deportivo Universitario struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 03, 2024 Deportivo Universit… 4 - 2 Herrera Liga Panameña …
Apr 14, 2024 Deportivo Universit… 1 - 2 Herrera Liga Panameña …
Feb 04, 2024 Herrera 3 - 3 Deportivo Universit… Liga Panameña …
Oct 15, 2023 Herrera 1 - 1 Deportivo Universit… Liga Panameña …
Jul 29, 2023 Deportivo Universit… 0 - 1 Herrera Liga Panameña …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Herrera Power 0
Deportivo Universitario Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Herrera Position

-4

Position Gap

2

Deportivo Universitario Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.