AI Match Insights
Liga Panameña de Fútbol Aug 03, 2024
Deportivo Universitario
HomeVS
23:00
Herrera
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Deportivo Universitario Win
Draw
Herrera Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
66%
Market
50%
Combined: 54%
Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.41 - 1.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.4
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Universitario Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Herrera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
3-0 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
2-0 (5%)
2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
Deportivo Universitario Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20 | Deportivo… vs Veraguas | 3-2 |
| Apr 27 | Deportivo… vs Independi… | 2-1 |
| Apr 20 | Deportivo… vs Veraguas | 2-1 |
| Apr 14 | Deportivo… vs Herrera | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Deportivo… vs Alianza FC | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Deportivo… vs Veraguas | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Deportivo… vs Herrera | 3-3 |
| Jan 20 | Deportivo… vs Independi… | 1-1 |
| Oct 22 | Deportivo… vs Independi… | 4-0 |
| Oct 15 | Deportivo… vs Herrera | 1-1 |
Herrera Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23 | Herrera vs Independi… | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Herrera vs Independi… | 1-0 |
| Apr 20 | Herrera vs San Franc… | 0-1 |
| Apr 14 | Herrera vs Deportivo… | 1-2 |
| Feb 17 | Herrera vs San Franc… | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Herrera vs Independi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Herrera vs Deportivo… | 3-3 |
| Oct 19 | Herrera vs San Franc… | 3-1 |
| Oct 15 | Herrera vs Deportivo… | 1-1 |
| Oct 08 | Herrera vs Independi… | 4-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Deportivo Universitario struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- Herrera struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Deportivo Universit… | 1 - 2 | Herrera | Liga Panameña … |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Herrera | 3 - 3 | Deportivo Universit… | Liga Panameña … |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Herrera | 1 - 1 | Deportivo Universit… | Liga Panameña … |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Deportivo Universit… | 0 - 1 | Herrera | Liga Panameña … |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Deportivo Universitario to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Deportivo Universitario Power
0
Herrera Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Deportivo Universitario Position+4
Position Gap6
Herrera Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.