AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Panameña de Fútbol Oct 15, 2023

Herrera

Home
VS
23:15

Deportivo Universitario

Away
AI Predictions 44.0% Confidence
Herrera Win
44.0%
Draw
25.2%
Deportivo Universitario Win
30.8%
Home Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.33 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.3
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Herrera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Deportivo Universitario Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Herrera Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 08 Herrera vs Independi… 4-2
Jul 29 Herrera vs Deportivo… 0-1
Deportivo Universitario Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Deportivo… vs Alianza FC 1-1
Jul 29 Deportivo… vs Herrera 0-1
Mar 26 Deportivo… vs Alianza FC 1-1
Oct 09 Deportivo… vs Veraguas 3-1
Sep 10 Deportivo… vs Alianza FC 1-0
Mar 26 Deportivo… vs Alianza FC 2-0
Sep 19 Deportivo… vs Alianza FC 1-0
Mar 24 Deportivo… vs Alianza FC 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 29, 2023 Deportivo Universit… 0 - 1 Herrera Liga Panameña …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Herrera Power 0
Deportivo Universitario Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Herrera Position

-4

Position Gap

2

Deportivo Universitario Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.