AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B May 12, 2024

Leones FC

Home
VS
20:00

Quindio

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Leones FC Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Quindio Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.41 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Leones FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Quindio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Leones FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Leones FC vs Bogota FC 2-2
Apr 25 Leones FC vs Deportivo… 1-1
Feb 26 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 2-3
Sep 16 Leones FC vs Bogota FC 1-0
Sep 03 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 1-2
Aug 02 Leones FC vs Quindio 0-0
Apr 10 Leones FC vs Bogota FC 4-3
Mar 19 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 0-1
Feb 14 Leones FC vs Quindio 0-3
Oct 08 Leones FC vs Quindio 3-2
Quindio Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
May 02 Quindio vs Popayan 2-1
Apr 26 Quindio vs Envigado 2-3
Apr 10 Quindio vs Envigado 3-2
Oct 11 Quindio vs Popayan 2-3
Aug 02 Quindio vs Leones FC 0-0
May 13 Quindio vs Popayan 1-2
Feb 14 Quindio vs Leones FC 0-3
Oct 08 Quindio vs Leones FC 3-2
Sep 03 Quindio vs Popayan 1-0
May 03 Quindio vs Leones FC 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Quindio struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 02, 2023 Leones FC 0 - 0 Quindio Primera B
Feb 14, 2023 Quindio 0 - 3 Leones FC Primera B
Oct 08, 2022 Quindio 3 - 2 Leones FC Primera B
May 03, 2022 Leones FC 0 - 0 Quindio Primera B
Mar 14, 2021 Leones FC 0 - 2 Quindio Primera B
Oct 08, 2020 Quindio 1 - 0 Leones FC Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Leones FC Power 0
Quindio Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Leones FC Position

-13

Position Gap

1

Quindio Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.