AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Feb 14, 2023

Quindio

Home
VS
01:05

Leones FC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Quindio Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Leones FC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.18 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4 Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Quindio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Leones FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Quindio Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 08 Quindio vs Leones FC 3-2
Sep 03 Quindio vs Popayan 1-0
May 03 Quindio vs Leones FC 0-0
Feb 28 Quindio vs Popayan 1-0
Mar 14 Quindio vs Leones FC 0-2
Feb 16 Quindio vs Popayan 1-1
Oct 08 Quindio vs Leones FC 1-0
Leones FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 08 Leones FC vs Quindio 3-2
Jul 30 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 1-1
Jul 09 Leones FC vs Bogota FC 2-2
May 03 Leones FC vs Quindio 0-0
Apr 09 Leones FC vs Bogota FC 1-0
Feb 23 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 1-1
Feb 13 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 3-1
Feb 09 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 2-0
Oct 24 Leones FC vs Bogota FC 1-0
Oct 12 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Quindio in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 08, 2022 Quindio 3 - 2 Leones FC Primera B
May 03, 2022 Leones FC 0 - 0 Quindio Primera B
Mar 14, 2021 Leones FC 0 - 2 Quindio Primera B
Oct 08, 2020 Quindio 1 - 0 Leones FC Primera B
Final Verdict

PRO: Quindio to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Quindio Power 0
Leones FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Quindio Position

+13

Position Gap

14

Leones FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.