AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Oct 08, 2022

Quindio

Home
VS
21:05

Leones FC

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Quindio Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Leones FC Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.61 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2 Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Quindio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Leones FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Quindio Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Quindio vs Popayan 1-0
May 03 Quindio vs Leones FC 0-0
Feb 28 Quindio vs Popayan 1-0
Mar 14 Quindio vs Leones FC 0-2
Feb 16 Quindio vs Popayan 1-1
Oct 08 Quindio vs Leones FC 1-0
Leones FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 30 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 1-1
Jul 09 Leones FC vs Bogota FC 2-2
May 03 Leones FC vs Quindio 0-0
Apr 09 Leones FC vs Bogota FC 1-0
Feb 23 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 1-1
Feb 13 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 3-1
Feb 09 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 2-0
Oct 24 Leones FC vs Bogota FC 1-0
Oct 12 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 2-0
Mar 14 Leones FC vs Quindio 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2022 Leones FC 0 - 0 Quindio Primera B
Mar 14, 2021 Leones FC 0 - 2 Quindio Primera B
Oct 08, 2020 Quindio 1 - 0 Leones FC Primera B
Final Verdict

PRO: Quindio to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Quindio Power 0
Leones FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Quindio Position

+13

Position Gap

14

Leones FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.