AI Match Insights
Elite One Apr 20, 2024
Aigle Royal
HomeVS
15:00
Fortuna Mfou
AwayAI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Aigle Royal Win
Draw
Fortuna Mfou Win
Home Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
Combined: 43%
Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.23 - 1.52
Key Insights
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aigle Royal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Fortuna Mfou Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
1-2 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
0-2 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
Aigle Royal Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25 | Aigle Roy… vs Canon | 1-2 |
| Dec 10 | Aigle Roy… vs Fortuna M… | 1-3 |
| Nov 19 | Aigle Roy… vs Canon | 3-0 |
| Oct 08 | Aigle Roy… vs Fortuna M… | 0-1 |
| Apr 22 | Aigle Roy… vs Canon | 2-0 |
| Dec 28 | Aigle Roy… vs Canon | 1-1 |
Fortuna Mfou Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 10 | Fortuna M… vs Aigle Roy… | 1-3 |
| Dec 06 | Fortuna M… vs Dynamo de… | 0-1 |
| Oct 08 | Fortuna M… vs Aigle Roy… | 0-1 |
| Oct 04 | Fortuna M… vs Dynamo de… | 0-0 |
| Jun 26 | Fortuna M… vs Panthère | 5-4 |
| May 03 | Fortuna M… vs Panthère | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Aigle Royal struggling (4L in last 5) Home
- Fortuna Mfou struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | Fortuna Mfou | 1 - 3 | Aigle Royal | Elite One |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Aigle Royal | 0 - 1 | Fortuna Mfou | Elite One |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Aigle Royal to win (45% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Aigle Royal Power
0
Fortuna Mfou Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Aigle Royal Position+9
Position Gap14
Fortuna Mfou Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.