AI Match Insights

Elite One Apr 20, 2024

Aigle Royal

Home
VS
15:00

Fortuna Mfou

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Aigle Royal Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Fortuna Mfou Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.23 - 1.52
Key Insights
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aigle Royal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Fortuna Mfou Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 0-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Aigle Royal Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Aigle Roy… vs Canon 1-2
Dec 10 Aigle Roy… vs Fortuna M… 1-3
Nov 19 Aigle Roy… vs Canon 3-0
Oct 08 Aigle Roy… vs Fortuna M… 0-1
Apr 22 Aigle Roy… vs Canon 2-0
Dec 28 Aigle Roy… vs Canon 1-1
Fortuna Mfou Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 10 Fortuna M… vs Aigle Roy… 1-3
Dec 06 Fortuna M… vs Dynamo de… 0-1
Oct 08 Fortuna M… vs Aigle Roy… 0-1
Oct 04 Fortuna M… vs Dynamo de… 0-0
Jun 26 Fortuna M… vs Panthère 5-4
May 03 Fortuna M… vs Panthère 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aigle Royal struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Fortuna Mfou struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 10, 2023 Fortuna Mfou 1 - 3 Aigle Royal Elite One
Oct 08, 2023 Aigle Royal 0 - 1 Fortuna Mfou Elite One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aigle Royal to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aigle Royal Power 0
Fortuna Mfou Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Aigle Royal Position

+9

Position Gap

14

Fortuna Mfou Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.