AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Aug 20, 2023

Legia Warszawa

Home
VS
18:00

Korona Kielce

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Legia Warszawa Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Korona Kielce Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.74 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.7
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Legia Warszawa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Korona Kielce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Legia Warszawa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 22 Legia War… vs Tychy 71 2-3
Jun 24 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 3-1
May 20 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 1-0
Feb 19 Legia War… vs Piast Gli… 0-1
Jan 29 Legia War… vs Korona Ki… 3-2
Nov 08 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 2-2
Nov 04 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 2-1
Aug 05 Legia War… vs Piast Gli… 2-0
Jul 16 Legia War… vs Korona Ki… 1-1
Apr 18 Legia War… vs Piast Gli… 0-1
Korona Kielce Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 Korona Ki… vs Zaglebie … 2-2
Mar 04 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 1-0
Feb 06 Korona Ki… vs Cracovia … 2-1
Jan 29 Korona Ki… vs Legia War… 3-2
Oct 09 Korona Ki… vs Zaglebie … 1-1
Aug 20 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 2-1
Jul 23 Korona Ki… vs Cracovia … 2-0
Jul 16 Korona Ki… vs Legia War… 1-1
Jul 08 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 0-2
Sep 22 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 4-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Legia Warszawa in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 29, 2023 Legia Warszawa 3 - 2 Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa
Jul 16, 2022 Korona Kielce 1 - 1 Legia Warszawa Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Legia Warszawa Power 0
Korona Kielce Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Legia Warszawa Position

-10

Position Gap

7

Korona Kielce Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.