AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ekstraklasa Jan 29, 2023

Legia Warszawa

Home
VS
14:00

Korona Kielce

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Legia Warszawa Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Korona Kielce Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.89 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Legia Warszawa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Korona Kielce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Legia Warszawa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 2-2
Nov 04 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 2-1
Aug 05 Legia War… vs Piast Gli… 2-0
Jul 16 Legia War… vs Korona Ki… 1-1
Apr 18 Legia War… vs Piast Gli… 0-1
Apr 02 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 2-1
Oct 24 Legia War… vs Piast Gli… 4-1
Oct 03 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 3-1
Jun 30 Legia War… vs Lechia Gd… 3-2
Apr 21 Legia War… vs Piast Gli… 0-1
Korona Kielce Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 09 Korona Ki… vs Zaglebie … 1-1
Aug 20 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 2-1
Jul 23 Korona Ki… vs Cracovia … 2-0
Jul 16 Korona Ki… vs Legia War… 1-1
Jul 08 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 0-2
Sep 22 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 4-3
Jul 14 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 3-1
Jun 26 Korona Ki… vs Zaglebie … 2-1
Jun 09 Korona Ki… vs Zaglebie … 1-1
May 31 Korona Ki… vs Wisla Plo… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Korona Kielce struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 16, 2022 Korona Kielce 1 - 1 Legia Warszawa Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Legia Warszawa Power 0
Korona Kielce Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Legia Warszawa Position

-10

Position Gap

7

Korona Kielce Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.