AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Mar 01, 2026

Carlos Renaux

Home
VS
18:00

MarcĂ­lio Dias

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Carlos Renaux Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.26 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Carlos Renaux Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Carlos Renaux Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Carlos Re… vs Figueiren… 1-0
Jan 25 Carlos Re… vs Marcílio … 2-4
Jan 21 Carlos Re… vs Joinville 0-1
Jan 17 Carlos Re… vs Camboriú 1-1
Jan 15 Carlos Re… vs Avaí 1-0
Jan 11 Carlos Re… vs Brusque 1-0
Jan 08 Carlos Re… vs Concórdia 0-1
Oct 13 Carlos Re… vs Nação 1-1
Oct 05 Carlos Re… vs Blumenau 2-1
Oct 01 Carlos Re… vs Joinville 2-0
MarcĂ­lio Dias Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Marcílio … vs Joinville 2-4
Jan 25 Marcílio … vs Carlos Re… 2-4
Jan 22 Marcílio … vs Barra 0-1
Jan 18 Marcílio … vs Chapecoen… 1-0
Jan 15 Marcílio … vs Santa Cat… 0-1
Jan 10 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 1-0
Jan 07 Marcílio … vs Criciúma 2-0
Nov 09 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 2-1
Nov 02 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 3-0
Oct 25 Marcílio … vs Santa Cat… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • MarcĂ­lio Dias struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 25, 2026 Carlos Renaux 2 - 4 MarcĂ­lio Dias Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Carlos Renaux Power 0
MarcĂ­lio Dias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Carlos Renaux Position

-1

Position Gap

5

MarcĂ­lio Dias Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.