AI Match Insights
Catarinense - 1 Mar 01, 2026
Joinville
HomeVS
18:00
Figueirense
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Joinville Win
Draw
Figueirense Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
40%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 37%
Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.74 - 2.45
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-3 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
2-3 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
Joinville Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 03 | Joinville vs MarcĂlio … | 2-4 |
| Jan 25 | Joinville vs Chapecoen… | 6-0 |
| Jan 21 | Joinville vs Carlos Re… | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Joinville vs Santa Cat… | 3-1 |
| Jan 15 | Joinville vs CriciĂşma | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Joinville vs Barra | 1-0 |
| Jan 07 | Joinville vs Figueiren… | 2-3 |
| Nov 23 | Joinville vs Figueiren… | 2-1 |
| Nov 16 | Joinville vs Figueiren… | 1-4 |
| Nov 09 | Joinville vs Blumenau | 1-0 |
Figueirense Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 02 | Figueiren… vs Carlos Re… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Figueiren… vs Camboriú | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Figueiren… vs Concórdia | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Figueiren… vs Avaà | 0-2 |
| Jan 15 | Figueiren… vs Brusque | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Figueiren… vs MarcĂlio … | 1-0 |
| Jan 07 | Figueiren… vs Joinville | 2-3 |
| Nov 23 | Figueiren… vs Joinville | 2-1 |
| Nov 16 | Figueiren… vs Joinville | 1-4 |
| Nov 09 | Figueiren… vs MarcĂlio … | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Joinville struggling (4L in last 5) Home
- Figueirense struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 07, 2026 | Joinville | 2 - 3 | Figueirense | Catarinense - 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Figueirense | 2 - 1 | Joinville | Copa Santa Cat… |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Joinville | 1 - 4 | Figueirense | Copa Santa Cat… |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Joinville | 0 - 0 | Figueirense | Catarinense - 1 |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Joinville | 0 - 0 | Figueirense | Copa Santa Cat… |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Figueirense | 1 - 1 | Joinville | Catarinense - 1 |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Joinville | 1 - 3 | Figueirense | Copa Santa Cat… |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Figueirense | 1 - 1 | Joinville | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Figueirense | 0 - 0 | Joinville | Catarinense - 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Joinville Power
0
Figueirense Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
6
Joinville Position-1
Position Gap5
Figueirense Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.