AI Match Insights

Catarinense - 1 Mar 01, 2026

Joinville

Home
VS
18:00

Figueirense

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Joinville Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Figueirense Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 40%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.74 - 2.45
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-3 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 2-3 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Joinville Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Joinville vs Marcílio … 2-4
Jan 25 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 6-0
Jan 21 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 0-1
Jan 18 Joinville vs Santa Cat… 3-1
Jan 15 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 0-0
Jan 10 Joinville vs Barra 1-0
Jan 07 Joinville vs Figueiren… 2-3
Nov 23 Joinville vs Figueiren… 2-1
Nov 16 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-4
Nov 09 Joinville vs Blumenau 1-0
Figueirense Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Figueiren… vs Carlos Re… 1-0
Jan 25 Figueiren… vs Camboriú 1-1
Jan 22 Figueiren… vs Concórdia 1-0
Jan 18 Figueiren… vs Avaí 0-2
Jan 15 Figueiren… vs Brusque 2-1
Jan 10 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 1-0
Jan 07 Figueiren… vs Joinville 2-3
Nov 23 Figueiren… vs Joinville 2-1
Nov 16 Figueiren… vs Joinville 1-4
Nov 09 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Joinville struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Figueirense struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 07, 2026 Joinville 2 - 3 Figueirense Catarinense - 1
Nov 23, 2025 Figueirense 2 - 1 Joinville Copa Santa Cat…
Nov 16, 2025 Joinville 1 - 4 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 11, 2025 Joinville 0 - 0 Figueirense Catarinense - 1
Oct 05, 2024 Joinville 0 - 0 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 24, 2024 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Aug 31, 2023 Joinville 1 - 3 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 21, 2023 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Jan 23, 2022 Figueirense 0 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Joinville Power 0
Figueirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Joinville Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Figueirense Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.