AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Feb 07, 2026

Brusque

Home
VS
22:30

Concórdia

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Brusque Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Concórdia Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.19 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Brusque Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Concórdia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Brusque Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Brusque vs Concórdia 0-0
Jan 25 Brusque vs Criciúma 3-3
Jan 21 Brusque vs Santa Cat… 1-1
Jan 17 Brusque vs Barra 0-1
Jan 15 Brusque vs Figueiren… 2-1
Jan 11 Brusque vs Carlos Re… 1-0
Jan 06 Brusque vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Oct 15 Brusque vs Santa Cat… 1-0
Oct 11 Brusque vs Nautico R… 2-1
Oct 06 Brusque vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Concórdia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Concórdia vs Brusque 0-0
Jan 25 Concórdia vs Barra 5-1
Jan 22 Concórdia vs Figueiren… 1-0
Jan 19 Concórdia vs Criciúma 3-1
Jan 14 Concórdia vs Chapecoen… 1-2
Jan 11 Concórdia vs Santa Cat… 0-0
Jan 08 Concórdia vs Carlos Re… 0-1
Oct 15 Concórdia vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Oct 05 Concórdia vs Santa Cat… 0-2
Sep 29 Concórdia vs Brusque 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Concórdia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2026 Concórdia 0 - 0 Brusque Catarinense - 1
Sep 29, 2025 Brusque 2 - 0 Concórdia Copa Santa Cat…
Sep 24, 2025 Concórdia 2 - 1 Brusque Copa Santa Cat…
Feb 16, 2025 Concórdia 1 - 4 Brusque Catarinense - 1
Feb 07, 2024 Concórdia 1 - 1 Brusque Catarinense - 1
Mar 22, 2023 Brusque 2 - 0 Concórdia Catarinense - 1
Mar 19, 2023 Concórdia 0 - 0 Brusque Catarinense - 1
Feb 08, 2023 Brusque 0 - 0 Concórdia Catarinense - 1
Mar 27, 2022 Brusque 1 - 0 Concórdia Catarinense - 1
Mar 23, 2022 Concórdia 0 - 1 Brusque Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brusque to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brusque Power 0
Concórdia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Brusque Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Concórdia Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.