AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Feb 07, 2026

Santa Catarina

Home
VS
22:00

Barra

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Santa Catarina Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Barra Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Santa Catarina Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Barra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Santa Catarina Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Santa Cat… vs Barra 1-1
Jan 25 Santa Cat… vs Avaí 3-1
Jan 21 Santa Cat… vs Brusque 1-1
Jan 18 Santa Cat… vs Joinville 3-1
Jan 15 Santa Cat… vs Marcílio … 0-1
Jan 11 Santa Cat… vs Concórdia 0-0
Jan 06 Santa Cat… vs Camboriú 2-2
Oct 25 Santa Cat… vs Marcílio … 1-1
Oct 18 Santa Cat… vs Marcílio … 3-2
Oct 15 Santa Cat… vs Brusque 1-0
Barra Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Barra vs Santa Cat… 1-1
Jan 25 Barra vs ConcĂłrdia 5-1
Jan 22 Barra vs Marcílio … 0-1
Jan 17 Barra vs Brusque 0-1
Jan 14 Barra vs CamboriĂş 1-0
Jan 10 Barra vs Joinville 1-0
Jan 08 Barra vs AvaĂ­ 2-1
Oct 12 Barra vs Marcílio … 6-0
Oct 07 Barra vs AvaĂ­ 1-0
Oct 01 Barra vs Figueiren… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Catarina in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 31, 2026 Barra 1 - 1 Santa Catarina Catarinense - 1
Jan 23, 2025 Barra 2 - 2 Santa Catarina Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Santa Catarina to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santa Catarina Power 0
Barra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Santa Catarina Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Barra Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.