AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Feb 06, 2026

Figueirense

Home
VS
23:00

Joinville

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Figueirense Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Joinville Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.02 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.3
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Figueirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (17%) 1-0 (11%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 0-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Figueirense Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Figueiren… vs Carlos Re… 1-0
Jan 25 Figueiren… vs Camboriú 1-1
Jan 22 Figueiren… vs Concórdia 1-0
Jan 18 Figueiren… vs Avaí 0-2
Jan 15 Figueiren… vs Brusque 2-1
Jan 10 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 1-0
Jan 07 Figueiren… vs Joinville 2-3
Nov 23 Figueiren… vs Joinville 2-1
Nov 16 Figueiren… vs Joinville 1-4
Nov 09 Figueiren… vs Marcílio … 2-1
Joinville Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Joinville vs Marcílio … 2-4
Jan 25 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 6-0
Jan 21 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 0-1
Jan 18 Joinville vs Santa Cat… 3-1
Jan 15 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 0-0
Jan 10 Joinville vs Barra 1-0
Jan 07 Joinville vs Figueiren… 2-3
Nov 23 Joinville vs Figueiren… 2-1
Nov 16 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-4
Nov 09 Joinville vs Blumenau 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Figueirense struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Joinville struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 07, 2026 Joinville 2 - 3 Figueirense Catarinense - 1
Nov 23, 2025 Figueirense 2 - 1 Joinville Copa Santa Cat…
Nov 16, 2025 Joinville 1 - 4 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 11, 2025 Joinville 0 - 0 Figueirense Catarinense - 1
Oct 05, 2024 Joinville 0 - 0 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 24, 2024 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Aug 31, 2023 Joinville 1 - 3 Figueirense Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 21, 2023 Figueirense 1 - 1 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Jan 23, 2022 Figueirense 0 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Figueirense Power 0
Joinville Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Figueirense Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Joinville Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.